And short of a massive religious revival in America that restocks the pond, Republicans run the risk Trump’s victory will conceal what they likely figured out four years ago — that 2020 and beyond look to be mathematically ugly given America’s changing demographics.

In the decades following the Civil War, the Republican Party grew more supportive of immigration, as it represented manufacturers in the Northeast (who wanted additional labor) whereas the Democratic Party came to be seen as the party of labor (which wanted fewer laborers to compete with). [261][262] Historians such as Matthew Lassiter, Kevin M. Kruse and Joseph Crespino, have presented an alternative, "bottom-up" narrative, which Lassiter has called the "suburban strategy". The election of Donald Trump is both a result and accelerant of our ongoing political realignment. Interestingly, the one area Democrats outperformed Republicans in one such study was in life evaluation — meaning that Democrats may be doing worse than Republicans in terms of well-being, but they aren’t bothered by it as much as Republicans.

Of the estimated 41 million who are voter eligible, an estimated 35 million voted in 2016, for an astonishing 85 percent turnout rate. During the impeachment and acquittal of President Bill Clinton, Republicans suffered surprise losses in the 1998 midterm elections.

The American Prospect. [95] Trump's victory was fueled by narrow victories in three states—Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—that traditionally vote for Democratic presidential candidates. During and after the election, the major broadcast networks used the same color scheme for the electoral map: states won by Republican nominee George W. Bush were colored red and states won by Democratic nominee Al Gore were colored blue. [49], The second half of the 20th century saw the election or succession of Republican presidents Dwight D. Eisenhower, Richard Nixon, Gerald Ford, Ronald Reagan and George H. W. Bush. [142] However, this position has changed since the 1980s and the administration of President Ronald Reagan, who labeled environmental regulations a burden on the economy. [14][15] Abraham Lincoln was the first Republican president. [288] In the 2010 midterms, the "gender gap" was reduced, with women supporting Republican and Democratic candidates equally (49%-49%). [126], Traditionally the party had no consistent color identity. The GOP supports lower taxes, free market capitalism, restrictions on immigration, increased military spending, gun rights, restrictions on abortion, deregulation and restrictions on labor unions. [300], Republicans have been winning under 15% of the black vote in recent national elections (1980 to 2016). The election of William McKinley in 1896 was marked by a resurgence of Republican dominance that lasted (except for 1912 and 1916) until 1932. All major Republican geographic constituencies are visible: Similar to the 2004 map, Republicans dominate in rural areas, making improvements in the, Although Hayes won a majority of votes in the Electoral College, Democrat, Although Harrison won a majority of votes in the Electoral College, Democrat, Although Bush won a majority of votes in the Electoral College, Democrat, Although Trump won a majority of votes in the Electoral College, Democrat, William Gienapp, "Nativism and the Creation of a Republican Majority in the North before the Civil War. The U.S. religious landscape has undergone profound changes in recent years, with the share of Christians in the population continuing to decline. [305], In recent decades, Republicans have been moderately successful in gaining support from Hispanic and Asian American voters. Retrieved from, Silver, N. (2011, March 1). [31] While Republican candidate John C. Frémont lost the 1856 United States presidential election to James Buchanan, he did win 11 of the 16 northern states. A political cartoon by Thomas Nast, published in Harper's Weekly on November 7, 1874, is considered the first important use of the symbol. Republicans support race-neutral admissions policies in universities, but support taking into account the socioeconomic status of the student.

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